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World Uncertainty Index

Real-time data from FRED — Ahir, Bloom & Furceri (IMF 2022)

CA FfPryhuC6Bahn6agpLe2X1gaibsPpZbR1gn49KW7pump
Live
World Uncertainty Index — Live Intelligence
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Initializing intelligence engine…
QoQ— YoY— ATH— Mean— σ 5Y— Momentum—
Live —
Trading Signals
Waiting for data…
Active Alerts
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Why It’s Moving
Waiting for data…
Live Signal Feed
Waiting for data…
Global Index
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Quarter / Quarter
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Year / Year
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All-Time High
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Historical Mean
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Std Dev (5Y)
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2026 Real-Time Uncertainty
Daily FRED indices updated through this week — real data, not estimates
US Economic Policy Uncertainty
Daily — newspaper-based
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FRED USEPUINDXD →
Equity Market Volatility
Daily — news-based
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FRED WLEMUINDXD →
US EPU Monthly Trend
Monthly aggregate — longer-term view
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FRED USEPUINDXM →
Global Uncertainty (WUI)
Quarterly index — zoom, scroll, hover
Top Movers
Biggest QoQ changes
▲ Rising
▼ Falling
Advanced vs Emerging
Structural divergence
Regional Breakdown
By world region
Country Index
Click for analysis — select up to 6 to compare
Country Comparison
Key Events
2001 – 2026

What is the WUI?

The World Uncertainty Index quantifies global uncertainty by counting "uncertain" and variants in EIU country reports. Covers 143 countries from 1960 at quarterly frequency. Read more →

Reading This Dashboard

  • Every number from FRED — zero synthetic data
  • Green = falling uncertainty, Red = rising
  • Click any country for full analysis
  • Select multiple countries to compare

Data Sources

Global Uncertainty Globe
3D rotating globe — drag to spin, scroll to zoom, hover for data, click for analysis
2026 Live Data
US EPU Daily—
Market Vol.—
US EPU Monthly—
Low uncertainty
High uncertainty
All countries colored. Bright = direct WUI data (21 countries) • Muted = regional WUI average • Dark = no data. Source: FRED WUI
3D Uncertainty Web
Orbit, zoom, click any node. The feed on the right shows what you're looking at and how it connects.
Connection Feed
Hover or click any node to explore
🔍
Hover any node
Events, countries, and regions are connected by real WUI data.

● Red = event   ● Purple = region   ● Country risk
● Cyan = 2026 live data (EPU, Market Vol.)

Cyan particles = real-time FRED data flowing into the network. Line thickness = actual QoQ impact.
Event Region Country 2026 Live Cyan particles = real-time feed
WUI Intelligence Pulse
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WUI Estimate
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Direction
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Confidence
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QoQ Change
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Active Alerts
Threshold-based monitoring — spikes, divergences, regime shifts
Waiting for data…
Trading Signals
WUI-derived market implications
Correlation Analysis
WUI vs supplementary indicators
Intelligence Brief
Why is uncertainty moving?
Generating analysis…
Social Output
Ready-to-post X content
Country Intelligence
Top movers with one-line reasoning
Event Impact Detection
Major macro events & measured WUI impact
Scenario Simulation
Hypothetical analysis — select a scenario
Select a scenario to simulate
Prediction Markets
Trading simulated, live trading coming soon
Trade on real uncertainty outcomes. All settlements from FRED data. No synthetic pricing.
Portfolio Value
$1,000.00
Cash: $1,000.00
Select a market to start trading
Your Positions
0 active
Settlement History
0 settled
All settlements based on official FRED data. Prices determined by LMSR automated market maker. No synthetic data.
$WUI Solana SPL
World Uncertainty Index — the token powering the first prediction market for global uncertainty.
Contract FfPryhuC6Bahn6agpLe2X1gaibsPpZbR1gn49KW7pump
Data Sources & Methodology
Every data point is traceable. Click any link to verify on FRED.
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